The heat is on in the debate on climate change

29 06 2009

The heat is on in LondonTemperatures are predicted to soar in London this week. As the mercury climbs higher no doubt it will be accompanied by louder claims that this is the product of global warming and human irresponsibility towards the environment. To digress a little, I was at the Neil Young concert in Hyde Park on Saturday when he played one of his dreadful odes to Mother Earth and how we are raping it etc. I looked around and the crowd, up until then excited by Young’s fantastic guitar playing, suddenly resembled a funeral party. Indeed, when I started to discuss this with my wife I was told to hush by someone close by.

This quasi religious approach to all things environmental typifies what is wrong with the climate change discussion. As Joe Kaplinsky and James Woudhuysen argue in their very good book Energise – A Future For Energy Innovation, insofar as there is a problem with human created climate change it needs to be tackled through a concerted programme of  energy innovation.  In other words it  should be a scientific and technological issue rather than a moral or political one.

The problem with discussing this issue at all is that climate change has become so politicised  that it is hard, as a rational person, to distinguish good science from green-led proselytising and moral blackmail.  It is also right to feel sceptical about a subject where nay sayers are accused of being ‘in denial’ and compared with war criminals.  

Nevertheless we have to assume that many of the scientists involved in this area are basing their concerns on good observations and proper scientific methodology. To do otherwise risks falling into the anti-science camp which doubts and questions all scientific progress. As Rob Clowes pointed out recently, were all the climate science to be proved wrong it would be the biggest failure of science since Lysenko.

However, given that climate change has been politicised, we have to challenge the anti-growth sentiments which lie behind it. The extent to which climate change is man made and can be reversed remains an open question. What we do have to insist on is that collectively humanity requires far more energy in order to have a good quality of life. This requires an open minded approach to energy innovation and far more resources put into all types of energy development. It requires an emphasis on economic growth to pay for it and a challenge to anybody who wishes to limit the types of energy that are developed on the basis that they change the world around us.

add to del.icio.us Add to Blinkslist add to furl Digg it add to ma.gnolia Stumble It! add to simpy seed the vine TailRank post to facebook

Advertisements




What’s wrong with a Green New Deal? (Part 1)

17 04 2009

The Conservatives have unveiled their plans for a Green New Deal for the UK (although they do not call it that).  It is fast becoming an item of common sense, from Obama downwards, that the twin problems of recession and global warming can be tackled by investing in green technology, thereby killing two birds with one stone.

This may on the surface seem an eminently sensible suggestion. There is a problem in that the climate change agenda is so politicised it is almost impossible to work out from the outside what the real facts are. But let us assume for the moment that climate change needs to be addressed.

The first problem with the Green New Deal (GND) is that it is a very amorphous concept. However, as the Tory proposals demonstrate, the GND almost always begin with a requirement to cut energy consumption. If one intention of the GND is to stimulate the economy out of recession, then cutting energy consumption is an odd way of doing this. As the authors of Energise have pointed out, a more rational approach to the issue of carbon emissions is to accelerate the development of better and cleaner energy sources rather than cutting consumption which can only have the effect of lowering living standards.

Indeed, China, the fastest growing economy in the world, has 16% of its electricity produced by renewables, compared with 4.5% in the UK. This is because China’s rapid growth has stimulated research, development into and implemetation of new sources of energy. In the West by contrast the whole issue of renewable enegy has become linked to an anti-growth agenda. The subtext of the current discussion on the GND in the West is that it is part of the new austerity.

Whether you accept all or some of the climate change agenda, the solution lies in innovation and growth, not consumption cutting and austerity.